CUSMA collapse could cost Canada 102,000 jobs by 2027, report warns
Canada could lose 102,000 jobs and the United States 214,000 by 2027 if the Canada-U.S.-Mexico free trade agreement collapses, according to a report prepared for the Canadian American Business Council by Oxford Economics. The study warns that even leaving today’s tariffs in place would slow export growth and keep unemployment elevated, while critics argue the government has left workers exposed and needs to spell out its red lines before signing any renewed deal.
The stakes are magnified by how much of Canada’s economy rides on a single customer. With more than three-quarters of the country’s goods exports flowing south, forecasters have repeatedly flagged the relationship as an existential economic dependency rather than a routine trade file.
“With more than 75 percent of Canadian goods exports going to the United States, it is imperative that Canada gets its relationship with the U.S. right,” wrote Zachary Siewert, a manager at Cultivate Labs and a professional forecaster at the RAND Forecasting Initiative, in an analysis...








